Eestimate

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Eestimate is an Estonian party preference polling tracker by bananasAreViolet.
Charts based on a weighted (by pollster and date) 30-day house effect-adjusted average, with LOESS smoothing applied to the displayed trend lines.

Norstat/ÜI polls are given a weight of 0.2 due to their frequency of appearing per week, adding up to a total weight of 0.8 per month.
Emor/ERR polls are given a weight of 1.
Turu-uuringute AS polls are given a weight of 0.7.

Updates will be sporadic but for now, here they are. We shall all pray that I do not suffer from burnout 🙃

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POLLING AVERAGE

LATEST NUMBERS

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SEAT PROJECTION
SUPPORT VS LAST ELECTION
SUPPORT VS LAST MONTH
SUPPORT VS LAST YEAR
COALITION BUILDER
0 / 101
Combined seats of selected parties
Short of a majority
21Presidential candidate nomination line 34Supermajority blocking line 51Majority line 55Safe majority line 68Supermajority line 81Constitution amending line
Select parties using the boxes.
Reform currently rules out Centre and EKRE. SDE rules out EKRE.
GOVERNMENT VS OPPOSITION POLLING AVERAGE

CUSTOM COALITION COMPARISON
Side 1
Side 2
RIIGIKOGU COMPOSITION CHANGE OVER TIME

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Based on party affiliation, not factions.

POLLSTER HOUSE EFFECTS

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LATEST POLLS, HOUSE EFFECT-ADJUSTED

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MONTH-ON-MONTH CHANGE

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